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Deloitte: Deal-focused shoppers to send Black Friday-Cyber Monday spending to new highs

Black Friday Sale with discount 70%-80%. Vector illustration; Shutterstock ID 482629921
Two-thirds (66%) of shoppers surveyed plan to shop on Black Friday.

The upcoming holiday weekend will get a big boost from deal-focused shoppers unhappy with the prices they’ve seen so far — including during retailers' highly-promoted October sales events.

Nearly half (45%) of consumers say they have already experienced higher prices for holiday items this season, and 32% say retailers are discounting less, according to Deloitte's “2024 Black Friday-Cyber Monday Survey.”  As a result, shoppers plan to spend more than half (56%) of their holiday budgets during the promotional week to get the most bang for their holiday buck, up from 47% in 2023.

Most (80%) of those surveyed plan to shop during the holiday weekend. While participation is expected to be similar to 2023, spending is expected to reach a new high of $650 (up from 15% from 2023). All demographics and income levels plan to spend more, especially those making less than $50K or more than $200K and Gen Z shoppers.

To stretch their holiday weekend budgets, 53% of respondents plan to use credit cards (up from 35% in 2023), and 29% will leverage buy now pay later services. Overall financing and credit card usage are highest among millennials (72% for each).

Despite heightened interest in October promotional events, only 32%  of those who shopped during that time period say it offered the best deals, compared to 49% who said the same in 2023, opening up an opportunity for retailers to attract value-seeking shoppers during the holiday weekend. This is compounded by nearly half (47%) of respondents who say the best deals of the season are on Black Friday.

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Other findings from the survey are below.

  • Nearly half (47%) of respondents who say the best deals of the season are on Black Friday. Surveyed consumers plan to spend $195 online and $150 in-store on Black Friday on average.
  • Two-thirds (66%) of shoppers surveyed plan to shop on Black Friday, driving participation back up to pre-pandemic levels and recovering from a low of 56% in 2021.
  • Shoppers are filling their online shopping carts as doorbuster deals slowly lose appeal. This year, only a quarter of consumers surveyed plan to shop in-store to take advantage of doorbusters.
  • All gift categories are expected to see increased participation as consumers seek discounts. Survey respondents plan to purchase clothing and accessories (77%), electronics and accessories (57%), and toys and hobbies (54%).
  • Health & wellness and pet products are expected to see double-digit participation – 34% and 29%, respectively.

"This year we have a shorter holiday shopping season with the late Thanksgiving,” Said Brian McCarthy, principal, Deloitte Consulting LLP. “Combined with a deal-focused consumer, we can expect to see holiday shoppers spend big during Black Friday-Cyber Monday promotions as they seek to close out their holiday shopping lists in a shorter timeframe. We continue to see the week evolve as a hybrid event, but online retailers are taking the top spot for the preferred format for the first time among those surveyed. This reinforces the importance of offering a consistent omnichannel experience to draw in consumers whether they plan to shop in-store, online, or both."

Deloitte's "2024 Black Friday-Cyber Monday Survey" is based on a survey of 1,200 consumers fielded between Oct. 16 and Oct. 24.

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