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How real estate intelligence is redefining retail growth

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Retailers are expanding again with a sharper focus on performance.

The conversation is not about how many stores to open. It is about where a store can win, how quickly a brand can validate a format and how each lease supports financial outcomes. Real estate intelligence sits at the center of that shift. It connects portfolio data, market signals and store performance so teams can act with speed and discipline. When real estate, finance and operations work from the same facts, decisions move from instinct to insight.

Customer movement patterns have changed since 2020. Many trade areas that were once secondary are now everyday destinations. Open-air and mixed-use centers continue to attract shoppers, while some dense urban corridors are still rebuilding predictable traffic. Brands that watch these patterns closely are reallocating capital to match reliable demand.

Format strategy is evolving as well. Small format stores offer faster buildouts, lower occupancy risk and better coverage in high-potential neighborhoods. Drive-up and quick service footprints continue to grow where convenience is the main decision driver. Experiential concepts still matter in flagship corridors, but they must prove a clear path to return.

Intelligence is also changing how retailers negotiate. With a precise view of occupancy cost, sales productivity and trade area health, brands can pursue flexible terms, targeted options and rent structures that reflect real performance. The same data surfaces renewal opportunities early, highlights co-tenancy risks and flags locations that need a remodel, a rightsizing or a relocation.

Finance teams are leaning in. Lease obligations are more visible on the balance sheet, which raises the stakes for accuracy and control. When lease administration and accounting live in the same system as portfolio analytics, finance can see the impact of a new store, an assignment or a termination before a deal is signed. Close processes run faster. Audit readiness improves. Leaders gain confidence that the real estate plan supports the financial plan.

This level of alignment turns real estate into an advantage. Site selection becomes repeatable. New market entries move faster. Underperforming stores are addressed before problems become structural. The portfolio becomes a living asset that can shift with customer behavior and cost pressure.

Winning retailers treat intelligence as muscle, not a report. They review consistent KPIs each week. They test formats in controlled sprints. They compare trade area potential to occupancy exposure before greenlighting capital. They capture learnings and feed them back into the next decision.

The next decade of retail growth will not be defined by store count. It will be defined by clarity. Brands that use real estate intelligence to decide where to place the next dollar will move first, negotiate better and grow with less risk. That is how portfolios become future proof.

 

Mark McDonald

Mark McDonald is president of Visual Lease and CoStar Real Estate Manager (formerly Virtual Premise), a wholly-owned subsidiary of CoStar Group. McDonald joined Virtual Premise as a member of the professional services team during the company's start-up phase. He also served as the leader of the field sales team during a multi-year period of hyper-growth, worked to establish implementation partnerships with the Big 4, and has guided numerous Fortune 500 companies through the digital transformation of their real estate portfolios and lease accounting compliance. He currently leads CoStar Real Estate Manager’s overall strategy development and operations.

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