Fiserv: Grocery, general merchandise boosts small business sales in November
On a monthly basis, sales (-0.1%) and transactions (+0.3%) were generally flat with no change in index value compared to October, which Fiserv noted as a positive sign given the significant month-over-month growth retail saw in October. The strongest month-over-month gains were seen in grocery (+2.4%), furniture, electronics and appliances (+2.2%), and general merchandise (+0.6%).
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Food services and drinking places, which includes restaurants, indexed at 131 in November, a four-point increase compared to October. Year-over-year, restaurants saw growth in both total sales (+8.1%) and foot traffic (+8.7%), although average ticket sizes continued to decline (-1.3%) compared to 2023.
On a monthly basis, both restaurant sales (+3.1%) and transactions (+1.9%) also rose, marking a second consecutive month of strong growth.
Service-based small business sales grew compared to 2023 (+5.1%) but declined compared to October of 2024 (-1.8%) as consumers shifted more dollars to restaurants and retailers. On a yearly basis, the fastest growing service categories were information services (+15.0%), food manufacturing (+14.8%) and professional, scientific, and technical services (+11.1%), and truck transportation (+7.9%). On a monthly basis, food manufacturing (3.6%) and transportation equipment manufacturing (+1.9%) were the only service-based categories to grow sales compared to October.
Fiserv found that in November, nearly all 50 U.S. states saw small business sales growth year-over-year. Nebraska (+13.1%), Florida (+11.5%), Alaska (+11.4%), South Carolina (+8.7%) and North Carolina (+8.0%) showed the most growth compared to 2023. Washington (+3.8%), Florida (+3.7%), Alaska (+1.8%) and Nevada (+0.3%) were the strongest performing states for small business sales growth month-over-month. Miami (+11.4%) and Atlanta (+7.5%) were the strongest-performing large cities for small business sales growth year-over-year.